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Rauner rated the nation's most vulnerable governor

Published on Monday, April 23, 2018

Rauner rated the nation's most vulnerable governor

Rauner is the most vulnerable governor, and his seat is the Democrats' "best pickup opportunity," said Hotline, which is published by the same folks who run National Journal. "Democratic nominee J.B. Pritzker won 200,000 more votes in his decisive March primary than Rauner, who won renomination by just 2 points. The latest polling puts Pritzker, heir to the Hyatt fortune, up 18 points in a state that Hillary Clinton won by a similar margin, and his odds further improved when Rauner's alienation of the right led to a third-party challenge from GOP state Sen. Sam McCann." 

Still, adds Hotline, "Both wealthy nominees, who have already spent a combined $131 million, have the time and resources to shift the race." And though I concede it's a minority view, I'm not completely convinced that McCann will hurt Rauner as much as he'll split the anti-Rauner vote and draw support away from Pritzker.

In any event, Rauner clearly is moving the wrong way as Hotline sees it. Before the primary, his seat was only the fifth-most-likely to flip parties.

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